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Blog Entry

Texas Hasn't Earned It, Huh?

Posted on: December 16, 2009 2:16 pm
 

Alabama 28, Texas 20

Texas does a good job taking advantage of our secondary. That's right! Our secondary is going to be more exposed in this game than any other game of the season. Bear in mind, we haven't been very exposed so far, so I'm not necessarily saying we'll get torn up out there; I highly doubt that will happen.

Maybe Shipley will have a good return or two that sets up good field position, maybe even a kickoff return for a touchdown.

Good play calling will give Texas a shot. Ask Kentucky. Kentucky had fantastic play calling against Alabama. Granted the Wildcats can't execute, but Texas can. The Longhorns have playmakers catching balls thrown by a playmaker quarterback.

The Texas defense will be more aggressive than Florida's. Texas does not have as good of a general defense as Florida, but a lot of football is about mentality.  The Texas defense will be ball-hawking and physical. Look for McElroy to throw an interception this game.

Nick will have his boys and coaches prepared, but so will Mack. However, I bet the big difference will be the quality of the assistant coaches. Yes, Texas has good assistant coaches. But Alabama's are better, reference the Florida game. Texas has not dominated an opponent of such quality that I can recall in the last decade.

____________________________

People, people, people! Give me a break! I'm tired of people claiming Texas does not deserve to be in the national championship game. I'm tired of people saying Alabama will dominate the Longhorns. Sure, there is a chance we could, but don't expect it. Alabama barely beat Auburn and Tennessee. So what if Texas barely beat Nebraska? At least the 'Huskers were ranked. 

I should start by saying that Alabama's defense is no doubt better than Nebraska's. However, the mentality that Texas will have against Alabama will be more intense and more fired up than against Nebraska. GIven that knowledge, I do think Texas will score more against Alabama than it did in the Big XII Championship game. In the end, the difference in the game is going to come to down defenses. I find that Alabama has a clear edge over Texas in defense. Dispute it al you want in these forums, but you'll see that I'm right on January 7th. I might not be right that the game will come down to defense, but I guarantee our defense will outplay the Texas defense. Texas does has a legitimate shot to beat Alabama. We Crimson Tide do have weak spots. Saban will adjust mid-game, but teams this year have shown that our secondary can be lured deep and onto one side of the field, leaving thirty yards of empy space in a portion of the field. Florida did this a few times but didn't capitalize. Texas will capitalize. They are underdogs, and they want to win every bit as we do. All teams have a few weaknesses; what makes a championship team is being able to recognize and adapt.

One big uncertainty is whether or not Colt McCoy will be able to run on Alabama. We shut down Tebow, but number twelve is a different style. Tebow runs like a fullback, but McCoy is just plain fast, giving him an advantage over Tebow for making big plays. Alabama matches up well with brutal teams because we tackle so well. Given we're also a fast team, a fast team will match up against us better than a strong team. Do I really think McCoy's running ability will win the game? No. It's just one more weapon to help the 'Horns move the chains.

One huge difference between the Gators and the Longhorns is going seemingly unnoticed by many people on these boards. McCoy can throw the ball even better than Tebow, sure. The real difference between the two is who is catching the ball. Texas has great receivers who will be cause more blown coverage than the Florida receivers. Additionally, the Texas receivers won't drop as many balls. Shipley is the biggest threat but Malcolm Williams is an unsung hero of the Texas offense. He's tall. He's fast. He's going to beat Marquis Johnson. Not everytime, but Malcolm will have some airtime. Obviously Shipley will beat his coverage every now and then.

Unfortunately for the Texas offense, there is no real need to take running backs Foswhitt Whittaker or Tre Newton seriously (as a spectator). I'm sure that if Bama has blown assignments these two boys are capable of taking advantage, but quite frankly, Texas doesn't hand off the ball enough for it to be likely these two guys will even have possession of the ball if there is a blown assignment. Bama's front three will keep these guys contained for the most part on pure handoffs. However, when Whittaker trots onto the field, the play calling isn't terribly unique. A swing or screen pass is more common than a dive. Ro' McLain loves running down swing passes.

The Alabama offense, on the other hand, is a bit more questionable. We just haven't had the consistency this season for me to be really confident. I don't think Texas will be able to afford keep eight or even seven men in the box if McElroy plays anything like he did against Florida. If that is indeed the case, we'll run all over the Longhorns from the get go, and they'll never have a chance. But our offense will depend on which McElroy shows up, which I don't care to predict.

Nonetheless, I think Alabama is going to be ready. I think Alabama is going to be focused. I think Alabama will bring home the BCS National Championship. With three minutes left in the SEC Championship, some players were going to dump the gatorade on Coach Saban, but Rolando stopped them. He said we haven't won it all yet. We have one more.

 

RTR

Comments

Since: Jan 15, 2009
Posted on: December 18, 2009 5:32 pm
 

Texas Hasn't Earned It, Huh?

I think TCU has an argument that it had a tougher schedule.  They played BYU on the road and beat them by 31.  They played 5 bowl teams.  They crushed a very good Utah team by 27.  Texas barely escaped an undermanned Oklahoma team by 3 and was lucky to beat Nebraska by one.  The only other team they played that was ranked was OSU and I"m not sure they should be ranked after their stinker at OU.  TCU also went to Death Valley early in the season and beat Clemson.  TCU is legit.  My main point is that all the current system does is set up a bunch of "what if" arguments and frustrates the heck out of everyone that wishes it could be settled on the field.  I'm hopeful we'll have a full blown playoff in 5 years.



Since: Jan 15, 2009
Posted on: December 18, 2009 5:16 pm
 

Texas Hasn't Earned It, Huh?

Houston beat the second and third best teams, by record, in the Big 12 South so they should be in the Cotton Bowl instead of a weak OSU team (weak, in part, due to injuries and suspensions). 



Since: Jan 12, 2009
Posted on: December 18, 2009 2:43 pm
 

Texas Hasn't Earned It, Huh?

Texas will handle itself very well in the BCS title game. Remember, this was one of the top three defenses in the NCAA, and it did it in a pretty good offensive conference. The secondary is much better than last year's, and the front seven ain't bad. Now, if Bama puts together a game along the offensive line like it did against Florida, then the Tide will have the advantage. That was one of the better performances I had seen by an O-line for quite awhile, and it paved the way for Ingram to have his Heisman moment. The one thing the Longhorns will have to be ready for is Bama's tendency for quick starts ... it's been a Saban trademark, from the Tide's meeting with Colorado in the Independence Bowl to the SEC thrashing of the Gators. But the Longhorns also have to be aware that the Tide usually slumps a bit, so there will be chances to rally ... and the Horns have the offense to take advantage. My prediction? Bama won't be quite as hot as in the SEC title game, and Texas will pull off the victory. It will be close, but let's put it as Texas 23, Bama 17.



Since: Apr 19, 2007
Posted on: December 18, 2009 12:10 pm
 

Texas Hasn't Earned It, Huh?

Good entry, holliniv , one that I think relects the sentiments of most Alabama fans.  You touch on the strengths and vulnerabilities of both teams, something many folks will say "well, of course!" to.  But that fact is I've read too many one-sided (from fans of both teams) posts to take seriously.  Yours, I can certainly take seriously.

Good job!




Since: Jul 28, 2007
Posted on: December 18, 2009 10:07 am
 

Texas Hasn't Earned It, Huh?

I will admit they haven't played a run game all year as good as Alabama'sSee, I really think this is going to kill them. I don't think their season has prepared them well enough to be able to handle our running backs. Muschamp is a good defensive coordinator, but the lack of exposure will really cost them. They haven't played any teams with great running games, so they don't know where the weaknesses are in their run defense. Ingram and/or Richardson will expose them.
I don't really know if they have any other WRs Texas needs to worry aboutMarquis Maze is just about as good as Julio Jones. He's not as big or physical. But he's fast as all get out and knows how to get open. Not to mention, Marquis' hands are just about as good as Prothro's. Also, Darius Hanks and Roy Upchurch are sure bets for McElroy if Julio is covered. They're not the play makers Julio and Maze are, but they're good for a first down. I think a lot of people are really underestimating the Alabama offense. 



Since: Aug 8, 2008
Posted on: December 18, 2009 8:58 am
 

Texas Hasn't Earned It, Huh?



so they should be in the Cotton Bowl, but no, they get to play in some no name bowl b/c of their conference. 


Some no-name bowl?  Really?  The Fiesta Bowl, a BCS bowl, is now a no-name bowl?  Are you sure you're talking about TCU?



Since: Sep 19, 2006
Posted on: December 18, 2009 4:18 am
 

Texas Hasn't Earned It, Huh?

Well, I haven't seen Alabama play a lot this year, but I really don't see them dominating the Texas defenseive front like they did Florida. So, maybe Alabama's offensive line is just that good, but Texas' front seven is also very good. The one bad performance Texas' defense did have was against a dual-threat QB and a prolific passing attack. I will admit they haven't played a run game all year as good as Alabama's, but I just don't think Alabama will be able to move the ball up and down the field on them. However, I do agree that McElroy's performance is really the key to the game for Alabama's offense. If he can have some success throwing the ball, that will definitely open up the running game. I just don't see the passing game as that big of a threat for Alabama. I know Jones is a stud, but I don't really know if they have any other WRs Texas needs to worry about. Texas has a MUCH better secondary than Florida, and they have the guys to make it a long day for Jones.



Since: Aug 21, 2006
Posted on: December 17, 2009 11:04 pm
 

Texas Hasn't Earned It, Huh?

Demo-you say Texas hasn't earned anything but then you talk about other teams and not Texas.   You talk about TCU, etc...

You say the Big 12 was a joke, but Texas dominated OSU in Stillwater and stayed well ahead of Tech; everyone says Texas struggled; which they did in the first half of most games but then in the second half, you blinked and it was 41-10.

Sorry, I still haven't seen any real argument; people seemed to be looking at the scores and records rather than who and how they played.   People bag on OU this year, but they lost two games by 1 point and two other by less than a touchdown.  Only the Tech game was a blow-out, but I can guarentee you that no one wants to play in Norman against a 6-5 Sooner team this year.



Since: Jul 28, 2007
Posted on: December 17, 2009 7:34 pm
 

Texas Hasn't Earned It, Huh?

I don't think Texas earned anything.  They played a patsy schedule and escaped several games against mediocre teams by the skin of their teeth.  They got in because of conference affiliation.  If TCU swept the Big 12 and Texas played in a small conference, TCU would be in the championship game.  The Big 12 was a joke this year once half the league got injured (See OU and Baylor).  Houston beat two of the top 3 teams in the Big 12 South -- Tex Tech and OSU (at OSU when they had all their big guns) so they should be in the Cotton Bowl, but no, they get to play in some no name bowl b/c of their conference.  Until we get a tournament set up we will keep getting crappy Big Ten and Big 12 teams playing for the fake national title when all they have done is play it safe by playing cupcakes and hoping they can squeak by in conference play.  I do have respect for Ohio St. and Oklahoma for playing tough non-conference games, but they do so at their own BCS risk.  Luckily for OSU the Big Ten was more awful than usual this year.  Alabama will slam Texas.

Hey, I'd be all for Alabama slamming Texas, but I really don't think you're giving them enough credit. I do think TCU would be a worthy opponent, but I I don't feel like they have earned it like Texas has. Texas' SOS is top 25 in the nation and TCU's is about 84.5. I find beating more quality opponents the whole season to prove Texas is indeed more worthy than TCU. I'm not going to lie, Cincinnati hasn't impressed me at all. I think Alabama would really push the Bearcats around (no offense to Cincy fans). But who cares if you can blow out opponents? Texas has blown out opponents, too. Coming out undefeated with a top 25 SOS is very impressive.



Since: Jan 15, 2009
Posted on: December 17, 2009 6:37 pm
 

Texas Hasn't Earned It, Huh?

I don't think Texas earned anything.  They played a patsy schedule and escaped several games against mediocre teams by the skin of their teeth.  They got in because of conference affiliation.  If TCU swept the Big 12 and Texas played in a small conference, TCU would be in the championship game.  The Big 12 was a joke this year once half the league got injured (See OU and Baylor).  Houston beat two of the top 3 teams in the Big 12 South -- Tex Tech and OSU (at OSU when they had all their big guns) so they should be in the Cotton Bowl, but no, they get to play in some no name bowl b/c of their conference.  Until we get a tournament set up we will keep getting crappy Big Ten and Big 12 teams playing for the fake national title when all they have done is play it safe by playing cupcakes and hoping they can squeak by in conference play.  I do have respect for Ohio St. and Oklahoma for playing tough non-conference games, but they do so at their own BCS risk.  Luckily for OSU the Big Ten was more awful than usual this year.  Alabama will slam Texas.


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